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        <identifier>oai:drops-oai.dagstuhl.de:25405</identifier>
        <datestamp>2026-03-19T13:04:36Z</datestamp>
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          <dc:title>Markov Chain Robustness</dc:title>
          <dc:creator>Zuckerman, David</dc:creator>
          <dc:subject>Markov chain</dc:subject>
          <dc:subject>random walk</dc:subject>
          <dc:subject>mixing time</dc:subject>
          <dc:subject>hitting time</dc:subject>
          <dc:subject>cover time</dc:subject>
          <dc:subject>robustness</dc:subject>
          <dc:subject>expander graph</dc:subject>
          <dc:description>When a Markov chain models nature or social interactions, it is likely not followed exactly, but only approximately. We therefore introduce several notions of robustness for a Markov chain P. Our standard adversary can dynamically change transition probabilities of P by 1 ± ε, and our strong adversary can completely control each transition independently with probability ε, as in a model by Azar, Broder, Karlin, Linial, and Philips [Y. Azar et al., 1996]. These adversaries are equivalent up to constant factors if the degrees are constant. Our adversarial chains need not converge.&#13;
We define and prove various robustness properties of a reversible chain P, i.e., a random walk on a connected undirected graph G. Let d be the maximum degree, Δ the diameter, π the stationary distribution, and t_{mix} the mixing time.  &#13;
1) We define a natural analogue π^+(S) that upper bounds limiting frequencies in a set S in the adversarial chain. We show that if ε = O(1/√{dt_{up}}), where t_{up} is a variant of the mixing time, then π^+(S) = O(π(S)^{1-α}) for any α &gt; 0. &#13;
2) We define the mixing time robustness as the largest ε such that the approximate mixing time increases by only a constant factor, and prove that it is Ω(1/√{dt_{mix}}). &#13;
3) We define the hitting time robustness as the largest ε such that the maximum hitting time increases by only a constant factor, and show that it is Ω(1/t_{mix}). For trees, we show it is Ω(1/Δ). &#13;
4) We define the cover time robustness as the largest ε such that the cover time increases by only a constant factor. We show that in most graphs it’s at least the hitting time robustness. &#13;
5) We characterize the mixing, hitting, and cover time robustnesses for constant-degree regular expander graphs up to constant factors. They are Θ(1), Θ(1/log n), and Θ(1/log n), respectively.</dc:description>
          <dc:publisher>Schloss Dagstuhl – Leibniz-Zentrum für Informatik</dc:publisher>
          <dc:contributor>David Zuckerman</dc:contributor>
          <dc:date>2026</dc:date>
          <dc:relation>Is Part Of LIPIcs, Volume 362, 17th Innovations in Theoretical Computer Science Conference (ITCS 2026)</dc:relation>
          <dc:type>InProceedings</dc:type>
          <dc:type>Text</dc:type>
          <dc:type>doc-type:ResearchArticle</dc:type>
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          <dc:identifier>doi:10.4230/LIPIcs.ITCS.2026.118</dc:identifier>
          <dc:identifier>urn:nbn:de:0030-drops-254056</dc:identifier>
          <dc:identifier>https://drops.dagstuhl.de/entities/document/10.4230/LIPIcs.ITCS.2026.118</dc:identifier>
          <dc:language>eng</dc:language>
          <dc:rights>https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode</dc:rights>
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