We show that the problem of counting 2-optimal tours in instances of the Travelling Salesperson Problem (TSP) on complete graphs is #P-complete. In addition, we show that the expected number of 2-optimal tours in random instances of the TSP on complete graphs is O(1.2098ⁿ √{n!}). Based on numerical experiments, we conjecture that the true bound is at most O(√{n!}), which is approximately the square root of the total number of tours.
@InProceedings{manthey_et_al:LIPIcs.MFCS.2025.73, author = {Manthey, Bodo and van Rhijn, Jesse}, title = {{Counting Locally Optimal Tours in the TSP}}, booktitle = {50th International Symposium on Mathematical Foundations of Computer Science (MFCS 2025)}, pages = {73:1--73:17}, series = {Leibniz International Proceedings in Informatics (LIPIcs)}, ISBN = {978-3-95977-388-1}, ISSN = {1868-8969}, year = {2025}, volume = {345}, editor = {Gawrychowski, Pawe{\l} and Mazowiecki, Filip and Skrzypczak, Micha{\l}}, publisher = {Schloss Dagstuhl -- Leibniz-Zentrum f{\"u}r Informatik}, address = {Dagstuhl, Germany}, URL = {https://drops.dagstuhl.de/entities/document/10.4230/LIPIcs.MFCS.2025.73}, URN = {urn:nbn:de:0030-drops-241807}, doi = {10.4230/LIPIcs.MFCS.2025.73}, annote = {Keywords: Travelling salesman problem, probabilistic analysis, local search, heuristics, 2-opt} }
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