LIPIcs.CCC.2022.2.pdf
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The satisfaction probability σ(ϕ) := Pr_{β:vars(ϕ) → {0,1}}[β ⊧ ϕ] of a propositional formula ϕ is the likelihood that a random assignment β makes the formula true. We study the complexity of the problem kSAT-PROB_{> δ} = {ϕ is a kCNF formula ∣ σ(ϕ) > δ} for fixed k and δ. While 3SAT-PROB_{> 0} = 3SAT is NP-complete and SAT-PROB}_{> 1/2} is PP-complete, Akmal and Williams recently showed 3SAT-PROB_{> 1/2} ∈ P and 4SAT-PROB_{> 1/2} ∈ NP-complete; but the methods used to prove these striking results stay silent about, say, 4SAT-PROB_{> 3/4}, leaving the computational complexity of kSAT-PROB_{> δ} open for most k and δ. In the present paper we give a complete characterization in the form of a trichotomy: kSAT-PROB_{> δ} lies in AC⁰, is NL-complete, or is NP-complete; and given k and δ we can decide which of the three applies. The proof of the trichotomy hinges on a new order-theoretic insight: Every set of kCNF formulas contains a formula of maximal satisfaction probability. This deceptively simple result allows us to (1) kernelize kSAT-PROB_{≥ δ}, (2) show that the variables of the kernel form a strong backdoor set when the trichotomy states membership in AC⁰ or NL, and (3) prove a locality property by which for every kCNF formula ϕ we have σ(ϕ) ≥ δ iff σ(ψ) ≥ δ for every fixed-size subset ψ of ϕ’s clauses. The locality property will allow us to prove a conjecture of Akmal and Williams: The majority-of-majority satisfaction problem for kCNFS lies in P for all k.
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