LIPIcs.GIScience.2023.86.pdf
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Flash floods, as a type of devastating natural disasters, can cause significant damage to infrastructure, agriculture, and people’s livelihoods. Mapping flash flood susceptibility has long been an effective measure to help with the development of flash flood risk reduction and management strategies. Recent studies have shown that machine learning (ML) techniques perform better than traditional statistical and process-based models in estimating flash flood susceptibility. However, a major limitation of standard ML models is that they ignore the local geographic context where flash floods occur. To address this limitation, we developed a local Geographically Weighted Random Forest (GWRF) model and compared its performance against other global and local statistical and ML alternatives using an empirical flash floods model of Jiangxi Province, China.
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